Why ventilatory thresholds (VT1/VT2) predict performance better than lactate thresholds
- PAIRFS

- 3 days ago
- 3 min read
For decades, lactate tests have been used to assess endurance performance. However, recent research shows that ventilatory thresholds , VT1 and VT2, are often more reliable , more reproducible, and more predictive of actual performance—especially in the field.
This is why breathing has become a central indicator for understanding — and improving — athletic performance.
1. Ventilatory thresholds are directly linked to energy pathways
VT1 and VT2 correspond to specific metabolic transitions:
VT1 : initial increase in ventilation to compensate for the CO₂ produced → entry into the tempo zone.
VT2 : strong and disproportionate rise in ventilation → compensation for acidosis → critical threshold.
These transitions show exactly how your internal engine reacts to effort.
👉 Unlike lactate, respiration reacts instantly to metabolic needs.
2. Lactate thresholds are very sensitive to external conditions
A lactate measurement can vary depending on:
the temperature,
nutrition before the test
stress or sleep,
hydration,
altitude,
the protocol used (stages too short, too long…).
Even in trained athletes, two lactate tests a few days apart can give different thresholds .
👉 Ventilatory thresholds, on the other hand, are much more stable and reproducible .
Studies (Weston 2001, Pallares 2016) show intra-athlete correlations r> 0.90 for VT1/VT2.
3. Ventilatory thresholds reflect the actual internal load
Breathing is directly regulated by CO₂ and blood acidity. When your breathing becomes rapid:
✔ Your tolerance to acidosis decreases
✔ The anaerobic pathway takes over
✔ Your time in the elevated zone becomes limited
Lactate measures one result of this imbalance. Ventilation measures the ongoing physiological process .
👉 VT2 predicts much better the ability to sustain an effort close to the threshold.
4. VT2 better predicts on-field performance
Research by Poole & Jones (2021), Wasserman, and others shows:
VT2 is strongly correlated with performance time over 10 km, cycling, triathlon.
VT2 evolves rapidly with training → progress indicator.
The shift in VT2 corresponds to a real physiological improvement , not just to better lactate tolerance.
In endurance sports, performing = holding high, for a long time → and that's exactly what VT2 measures.
5. The breathing test is easier… and much more common
The lactate test requires:
specific equipment
blood samples,
a strict protocol,
hygiene constraints,
a controlled environment.
Conversely, a respiratory test can be performed:
✔ on a home trainer
✔ outdoors
✔ uphill
✔ in the race
✔ at every training session
With ZoneX, ventilatory transitions are detected in real time , without masks and without cumbersome testing.
6. Why this changes everything for training
By using VT1/VT2 as a training basis, the athlete gains access to:
more precise pacing,
optimal effort management on the climb,
improved respiratory stability
real-time monitoring of internal workload,
a precise view of the progress.
It is a more individualized, less variable and better adapted approach to the terrain than traditional lactic methods.
Conclusion
Lactate thresholds remain useful in the laboratory, but:
👉 Ventilatory thresholds (VT1/VT2) are more stable, more predictive and more representative of the reality on the ground.
With ZoneX, this respiratory power becomes accessible on every outing, without a mask or sampling, to train smarter — and perform better.
More information:
Wasserman K., Hansen JE, Sue DY, Stringer WW. Principles of Exercise Testing and Interpretation. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, 2011. (Reference book on ventilatory thresholds VT1/VT2)
Pallarés JG, Morán-Navarro R., Ortega JF, Fernández-Elías VE, Mora-Rodríguez R.Validity and Reliability of Ventilatory and Blood Lactate Thresholds in Well-Trained Cyclists. PLoS One, 2016. https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0163389
Cerezuela-Espejo V., Courel-Ibáñez J., Morán-Navarro R., Martínez-Cava A., Pallarés JGThe Relationship Between Lactate and Ventilatory Thresholds in Runners. Frontiers in Physiology, 2018. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphys.2018.01320/full
Weston S., Gabbett T. Reproducibility of Ventilation Thresholds in Trained Cyclists. Int J Sports Med, 2001. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11702922/
Gaskill SE, Ruby BC, Walker AJ, Sanchez OA, Serfass RC, Leon ASValidity and Reliability of Combining Three Methods to Determine Ventilatory Threshold. Med Sci Sports Exercise, 2001. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/11689733/
Poole DC, Jones AMOxygen Uptake Kinetics and Limitations to V̇O₂max. Comprehensive Physiology, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1002/cphy.c200006
Amann M. Pulmonary System Limitations to Endurance Exercise Performance. Journal of Applied Physiology, 2012. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22125308/




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